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London Breakout Strategy

A high-probability strategy that capitalizes on the increased volatility at the London session open.

Timeframe

M15–H1

Instruments

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, Gold

Difficulty

Intermediate

What Is the London Breakout?

The London Breakout strategy exploits the volatility surge that occurs when the London session opens at 3:00 AM EST. During the Asian session, price typically consolidates in a tight range. When London opens, institutional order flow creates a directional breakout from this range.

This strategy is popular with prop firm traders because it provides clear entry signals, defined risk (the Asian session range), and typically completes within a few hours — allowing you to be flat before the New York session adds complexity.

Setup Rules

1. Identify the Asian session range (19:00–03:00 EST) — mark the high and low. 2. Wait for the London open (03:00 EST). 3. Enter on a break above the Asian high (buy) or below the Asian low (sell) with a confirming candle close. 4. Stop loss: opposite end of the Asian range + 5 pips buffer. 5. Take profit: 1.5–2x the range size, or trail with the 20 EMA.

Filter: Avoid trading on days with major news events during the London session (NFP prep day, ECB announcements). These can create false breakouts.

Prop Firm Risk Management

With a typical 30–50 pip Asian range on EUR/USD, your stop loss will be 35–55 pips. On a $100K account risking 1%: - Risk per trade: $1,000 - Position size: ~2 standard lots (for 50-pip stop) - Daily loss limit usage: 20% of FTMO's 5% limit

This gives you room for 4 more trades at the same risk before hitting your daily limit — but the London Breakout typically provides only 1 setup per day, making it ideal for prop firm compliance.

PropJournal tracks each breakout trade against your daily loss limit in real-time.

Win Rate and Expectancy

Backtested data suggests the London Breakout delivers: - Win rate: 55–65% (with proper filtering) - Average R:R: 1.5:1 to 2:1 - Expected value per trade: 0.3R to 0.8R

At 0.5R expected value and 1% risk per trade, you'd expect to generate 0.5% per trade. With 1 trade per day, 20 trading days = 10% profit — enough to pass most prop firm challenges.

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